• image4

    I sincerely apologize for the lack of updates regarding this historic tornado outbreak. At first I was hesitant to post anything because of the wealth of the information already on the internet; I did not want to add any clutter or confusion or misinformation with such a historic event. However, I have been noticing over [...]

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  • ww0224_radar

    The storm Prediction Center has issued Tornado Watch #224 for ALL of Middle Tennessee, including Nashville. Here is the forecast watch text… DISCUSSION…WITH EXPECTED INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET AND ACCOMPANYING AVAILABLE UNSTABLE AIR MASS THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE NIGHT. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL…TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE [...]

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  • p120i00

    The Storm Prediction Center has a SLIGHT Risk for severe thunderstorms over Middle Tennessee today (Tuesday), with a primary risk of large hail and damaging straight line winds, with an isolated threat for tornadoes. Then, tomorrow (Wednesday), will bring the risk for a tornado outbreak across TN, KY, MS, and AL during the afternoon and [...]

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  • Tornado Outbreak and Flooding

    Boy do I have a busy forecast for everyone! The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for Severe Thunderstorms on Tuesday (tomorrow), a MODERATE risk for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday, and lastly, there is a flood threat looming on the horizon due to all of this severe weather. Because of how much is [...]

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  • day5prob

    April has been quite an active month, setting a new record for most tornadoes in the month of April across the whole U.S., and April isn’t even over yet. Every day for the next week there is a severe weather risk somewhere across the U.S., one of which will impact Middle Tennessee by Wednesday or [...]

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  • ww0160_radar

    The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for all of Middle Tennessee, which is set to expire by 5 AM. Tornadoes, hail, damaging straight line winds, and frequent/dangerous lightning will accompany this system as it pushes through. Current timing still appears to be after midnight, mainly 2-3 AM, but could be sooner. The [...]

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  • cape_t6sfc_f10

    Tonight and early tomorrow morning is becoming increasingly likely for severe weather, as the air becomes increasingly unstable and the cold front looks to arrive sooner than forecasted. In the last forecast, I described the difference between what the NAM model and the GFS model was saying, and I said I expected the GFS to [...]

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  • GFS_3_2011041906_F24_36.0000N_87.0000W

    Currently, the Storm Prediction Center has most of Middle Tennessee under a SLIGHT risk for severe thunderstorms this evening and tomorrow morning. Within this slight risk is a MODERATE risk, that clips the extreme NW corner of Tennessee, the Northern half of Arkansas, the Southern half of Missouri, the southern majorities of Illinois and Indiana, [...]

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  • image2

    The severe weather risk for Middle Tennessee described in the previous forecast has greatly diminished, but the potential for severe thunderstorms still exist Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The SPC has issued a MODERATE risk for North Arkansas, Mid to South Missouri, Western Kentucky, most of Illinois and Indiana, and the extreme North West corner [...]

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  • CAPE

    Currently, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, has a slight risk for severe thunderstorms across portions of North-Middle Tennessee, or areas north and west of Nashville for Tuesday Evening. However, this is not the full story. There are currently no other risk areas issued, but the real severe weather threat is going to come [...]

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