Posts in the "Severe" Category

  • ww0430_radar

    The Storm Prediction Center has issued a severe thunderstorm watch until 5 PM today, with large hail and damaging winds the main threat and currently no tornado threat. Storms are currently in Kentucky, but more storms are beginning to develop ahead of an outflow boundary ahead of the system and it is heading into TN. [...]

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  • day1probotlk_1630_torn

    UPDATE: Storms have already begun to develop over Middle Tennessee, with more on the way from Arkansas. Expect storms to continue on and off today, some of which may be severe with damaging winds, hail, and maybe an isolated tornado. See the forecast below for more details. The threat for severe weather has returned to [...]

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  • ww0224_radar

    The storm Prediction Center has issued Tornado Watch #224 for ALL of Middle Tennessee, including Nashville. Here is the forecast watch text… DISCUSSION…WITH EXPECTED INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET AND ACCOMPANYING AVAILABLE UNSTABLE AIR MASS THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE NIGHT. IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL…TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE [...]

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  • p120i00

    The Storm Prediction Center has a SLIGHT Risk for severe thunderstorms over Middle Tennessee today (Tuesday), with a primary risk of large hail and damaging straight line winds, with an isolated threat for tornadoes. Then, tomorrow (Wednesday), will bring the risk for a tornado outbreak across TN, KY, MS, and AL during the afternoon and [...]

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  • Tornado Outbreak and Flooding

    Boy do I have a busy forecast for everyone! The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for Severe Thunderstorms on Tuesday (tomorrow), a MODERATE risk for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday, and lastly, there is a flood threat looming on the horizon due to all of this severe weather. Because of how much is [...]

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  • day5prob

    April has been quite an active month, setting a new record for most tornadoes in the month of April across the whole U.S., and April isn’t even over yet. Every day for the next week there is a severe weather risk somewhere across the U.S., one of which will impact Middle Tennessee by Wednesday or [...]

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  • ww0160_radar

    The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for all of Middle Tennessee, which is set to expire by 5 AM. Tornadoes, hail, damaging straight line winds, and frequent/dangerous lightning will accompany this system as it pushes through. Current timing still appears to be after midnight, mainly 2-3 AM, but could be sooner. The [...]

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  • cape_t6sfc_f10

    Tonight and early tomorrow morning is becoming increasingly likely for severe weather, as the air becomes increasingly unstable and the cold front looks to arrive sooner than forecasted. In the last forecast, I described the difference between what the NAM model and the GFS model was saying, and I said I expected the GFS to [...]

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  • GFS_3_2011041906_F24_36.0000N_87.0000W

    Currently, the Storm Prediction Center has most of Middle Tennessee under a SLIGHT risk for severe thunderstorms this evening and tomorrow morning. Within this slight risk is a MODERATE risk, that clips the extreme NW corner of Tennessee, the Northern half of Arkansas, the Southern half of Missouri, the southern majorities of Illinois and Indiana, [...]

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  • image2

    The severe weather risk for Middle Tennessee described in the previous forecast has greatly diminished, but the potential for severe thunderstorms still exist Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The SPC has issued a MODERATE risk for North Arkansas, Mid to South Missouri, Western Kentucky, most of Illinois and Indiana, and the extreme North West corner [...]

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