Posts in the "Severe" Category

  • day1otlk_1630

    Today brings a risk for severe thunderstorms, capable of damaging winds and marginal hail. The Storm Prediction Center has the risk over most of Middle Tennessee, except for a small corner to the north east. Here is the SPC’s discussion… …GULF COAST STATES TO SERN ATLANTIC COAST… AS MENTIONED IN THE SYNOPSIS…SEVERAL MIDLEVEL IMPULSES ARE [...]

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  • outflow

    Right now there is a multicellular line of thunderstorms moving from Western Tn into Middle Tn. At the moment it looks like it will be here in 2+ hours, with small hail and damaging winds possible. The main threat with these storms will be the active and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. Severe potential seems low at [...]

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  • day1probotlk_1300_torn

    As a side note before I start this post, I would just like to make the point that I am running out of title ideas. =\ The SPC has placed all of Middle Tennessee under a Slight Risk for severe storms today. We have FINALLY picked up some wind shear, so now it looks more [...]

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  • ww0252_radar

    The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of north and middle Tennessee. THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN             ARKANSAS SOUTHERN KENTUCKY MISSOURI BOOTHEEL FAR NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND [...]

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  • day1otlk_1630

    Today yields yet another slight risk over north and western portions of Tennessee, with risk for large hail and damaging winds. I took a look at the models, and the is more than enough convection to support thunderstorms today. With CAPE values of 3000 j/kg, they will be strong. However, with lack of wind shear [...]

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  • skew_KBNA

    Today, the Storm Prediction Center has placed all of Tennessee under a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms. Here is what the SPC is saying for today. …LWR MS/TN VLYS ENE TO THE MID-ATLANTIC… BANDS OF MAINLY ELEVATED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND N AFOREMENTIONED FRONT AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE SRN OZARKS ENE TO [...]

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  • CAPE

    Tonight will bring another round of severe thunderstorms under a slight risk, with primary threats being large hail and damaging downburst winds. In Ohio, a moderate risk has been issued and contains a much greater chance for severe weather. The hourly weather graph from the Nashville National Weather Service office estimates thunderstorm activity to be [...]

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  • day1probotlk_1630_torn

    I apologize that I didn’t warn anyone about this upcoming event. Honestly I was both busy and unimpressed with this event, but obviously that isn’t the case now! So, here is the status update. Middle Tennessee is under 3 different zones of risk. Far eastern is under a HIGH risk, central Middle Tennessee is under [...]

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  • ww0096_radar

    So earlier this morning/afternoon I left the house to go and spot these storms for the National Weather Service. I kind if knew and was hoping that this wasn’t going to be the worst of  the storm when I left the house, and went after a couple of strong, non-severe storms for practice. Later, we [...]

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  • And So It Begins…

    Well, here it goes. There is a wave of showers and thunderstorms moving east-northeast across middle Tennessee right now, slowly but surely making its was across the state. This is only the very edge of the system, the outskirts, as it were. Through the night more of the system will push through, a more severe [...]

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