Tea partying through Tornadoes in the middle of the night!
A new tornado watch has just been issued for Middle Tennessee, and appropriately so. Storms are already beginning to rotate in extreme west-middle tennessee and will continue north-north east. The storms are plowing directly into a moist, unstable, and sheared airmass, and storms will begin to explode in strength as they get closer. Monitor [...]
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UPDATE: Here is the timing for the greatest tornadic potential (click to enlarge!) The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MODERATE risk for severe weather across ALL of Tennessee, Northern Alabama, all of Kentucky, and more areas. This is an extremely volatile situation where tornadoes are not possible, but PROBABLE, according to the [...]
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UPDATE: SPC ISSUES ANOTHER MODERATE RISK! The SPC just upgraded West Tn from a SLIGHT to a MODERATE risk for severe weather with strong tornadoes possible. Parts in bold are the important stuff. Here is what they have to say that concerns us for Monday: OTHERWISE…A SEASONALLY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS…GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER 60S [...]
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Well, the Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the risk for people living West of I-65, including Nashville and Franklin. The image at left is the tornado risk, where the light blue dashed area is a potentially significant area of risk, which Nashville and Franklin are in. We are now at a MODERATE risk, with the [...]
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I sincerely apologize for my lack of posting on this severe weather event. It has been a busy few days, much less a very unpredictable system. Even though I haven’t been posting, I have checked the NAM and GFS models every day at every run to see what this system is going to do. Please [...]
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Today marks the first day of Middle Tennessee’s Severe Weather Awareness Week. SWAW takes place from February 20th until February 26th. Events include tornado drills, safety plans, information on various hazards, and the importance of SKYWARN spotters. Each day this week, I will make a post about each topic of the day in the spirit [...]
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Yet another winter weather event is on its way. Starting tomorrow (Wednesday), snow will start falling over Middle Tennessee. I can only guarantee one thing: snow will fall from the sky and land on the ground. However, there is a lot of uncertainty and disagreement between weather models regarding the amount of snow we will [...]
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Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning is going to make for an interesting night. The National Weather Service in Nashville is looking at the possibility of some strong to possibly severe thunderstorms Tuesday evening. A strong low pressure system will be moving through the South on Tuesday, and by Tuesday evening precipitation will start to fall. By midnight Tuesday/Wednesday, the low pressure center will pass directly over Middle Tennessee. It is at this time that the most interesting weather could happen. After the low pressure center passes, it will begin to draw cold air into the state once again. The possibility exists for snow early Wednesday morning, but if anything falls it will not stick. The low will be around 34, so nothing major is expected. There is a LOT of uncertainty with this event, so how is it going to pan out? To be honest, I have no idea.
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A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for ALL of Middle Tennessee from Midnight tonight until Noon Wednesday. Snow accumulations of 2 inches is almost guaranteed, with 3-5 inches possible in most areas. Places of higher elevation such as the Cumberland Plateau can expect higher snowfall amounts, from 4-6 inches. Road conditions will be worst [...]
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The Tennessee Emergency Management Agency has declared a State of Emergency for the entire state in preparation of the coming winter storm. Snow accumulations of up to 8 inches are possible in many parts of the state, with the entire state having at least 3 inches, with much more likely. Here is the current update [...]
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