Posts in the "Forecasts" Category

• Monday’s Severe Outlook

  Severe
  

  As promised in the previous forecast, the Storm Prediction Center has placed nearly ALL of Tennessee under a severe weather risk for Monday evening. Apparently this storm is strong enough to last from Day 4 over in Oklahoma all the way into Day 6 in Florida. The SPC is continuing to use some strong wording, [...]

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• A Quick Update on Monday-Wednesday…

  Severe
  

  I just wanted to update you guys about a looming severe weather threat on the horizon for the Monday through Wednesday window. A lot of forecasters have been keeping an eye on this event, including myself, the Nashville National Weather Service, and the Storm Prediction Center. This looks like it will be a very potent [...]

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• Alabama About To Be Hammered!

  Severe
  

  I have been keeping an eye on this system for about a week, and things are finally coming to a head and it looks grim for Mississippi and Alabama! The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for the broad area of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and extreme South Middle Tennessee. Within this [...]

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• Tornado Watch #58

  Severe
  

  The Storm Prediction Center has issued Tornado Watch #58 for all of Middle Tennessee. Here is the watch discussion. EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 410 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. TORNADOES…HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS [...]

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• Severe Weather Watch is Likely

  Severe
  

  The Storm Prediction Center issued a Mesoscale Discussion, which discussed the possibility of a Weather Watch in our area. The messy convection has finally passed over, leaving in a space for the sun to shine through. This will allow for unstable air to develop and moisture to rise, which will further increase our chances for [...]

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• Today’s Setup

  Severe
  

  The Storm Prediction Center has altered their severe weather outlook in more ways than one. The Kentucky area has been upgraded to a MODERATE risk of severe weather, and our slight risk has shifted eastward. However, some things have remained the same from the last forecast. The main threat that both we and the people [...]

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• Threat for Wednesday

  Severe
  

  Tomorrow is shaping up to be a day with strong to and severe thunderstorms. Areas of greatest risk are North and West of Nashville, but areas to the South and West are at a decent risk within the 30% area. The NAM is still holding onto a 6 PM arrival of the storms, and I [...]

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• Chance for Severe Weather Tomorrow…

  Severe
  

  With the return of spring weather to the state of Tennessee, the return of severe weather could not have been far behind. After an almost month long break from storms since February, we’ve been long overdue for some action. However, that action may be very limited, even though we are under a Slight Risk for [...]

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• Tornado Watch #31 for Middle Tennessee

  Severe
  

    A new tornado watch has just been issued for Middle Tennessee, and appropriately so. Storms are already beginning to rotate in extreme west-middle tennessee and will continue north-north east. The storms are plowing directly into a moist, unstable, and sheared airmass, and storms will begin to explode in strength as they get closer. Monitor [...]

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• MAJOR Severe Weather Outbreak Expected!

  Severe
  

  UPDATE: Here is the timing for the greatest tornadic potential (click to enlarge!)     The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MODERATE risk for severe weather across ALL of Tennessee, Northern Alabama, all of Kentucky, and more areas. This is an extremely volatile situation where tornadoes are not possible, but PROBABLE, according to the [...]

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