Tea partying through Tornadoes in the middle of the night!
Tonight and early tomorrow morning is becoming increasingly likely for severe weather, as the air becomes increasingly unstable and the cold front looks to arrive sooner than forecasted. In the last forecast, I described the difference between what the NAM model and the GFS model was saying, and I said I expected the GFS to [...]
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Currently, the Storm Prediction Center has most of Middle Tennessee under a SLIGHT risk for severe thunderstorms this evening and tomorrow morning. Within this slight risk is a MODERATE risk, that clips the extreme NW corner of Tennessee, the Northern half of Arkansas, the Southern half of Missouri, the southern majorities of Illinois and Indiana, [...]
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The severe weather risk for Middle Tennessee described in the previous forecast has greatly diminished, but the potential for severe thunderstorms still exist Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The SPC has issued a MODERATE risk for North Arkansas, Mid to South Missouri, Western Kentucky, most of Illinois and Indiana, and the extreme North West corner [...]
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Currently, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, has a slight risk for severe thunderstorms across portions of North-Middle Tennessee, or areas north and west of Nashville for Tuesday Evening. However, this is not the full story. There are currently no other risk areas issued, but the real severe weather threat is going to come [...]
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The Storm Prediction Center has continued the placement of a severe weather outbreak over the mid-state for Friday, and it looks to be a nasty one! Currently, there is a Moderate risk for severe thunderstorms over Alabama, Mississippi, and extreme southern Middle Tennessee. Also in the risk area is a hatched (blue cross hatched area) [...]
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Friday brings yet another significant severe weather event to Tennessee, with the whole state under a slight risk. Middle Tennessee is under a 30% risk area, and south-Middle Tennessee is under a hatched risk – which means very significant severe weather can be expected in that area of Friday. The SPC has been watching this [...]
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The Storm Prediction Center is still continuing to place Tennessee under a Slight Risk for severe weather, with the main concern being damaging winds. However, #2 concern is for the possibility of tornadoes inside the line, as described in the last post. The SPC has us under a 10% risk for tornadoes, more than substantial [...]
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The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma has placed all of Tennessee, including Nashville, Chattanooga, Memphis, and Knoxville, under a risk for severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon. The severe weather will affect the Memphis area and Western Tennessee in the early morning ours, Middle Tennessee around Noon, and East TN in the late afternoon. There is [...]
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A significant severe weather outbreak is expected across Middle Tennessee, and we are currently under a MODERATE risk. The main threat will be damaging winds and large hail, with tornadoes certainly possible and NOT out of question. A cold front is currently trying to push into Memphis, with a large squall line pushing into the [...]
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Tomorrow (Monday) will bring a round of severe thunderstorms to Middle Tennessee. It looks like these storms will be quite potent, and we could see plenty of reports of severe weather in the area. This event has been on the forecast for quite some time, and it will be interesting to see how it pans [...]
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