Nashville Severe Weather and Storm Chasing Blog
I apologize that I didn’t warn anyone about this upcoming event. Honestly I was both busy and unimpressed with this event, but obviously that isn’t the case now! So, here is the status update. Middle Tennessee is under 3 different zones of risk. Far eastern is under a HIGH risk, central Middle Tennessee is under [...]
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So earlier this morning/afternoon I left the house to go and spot these storms for the National Weather Service. I kind if knew and was hoping that this wasn’t going to be the worst of the storm when I left the house, and went after a couple of strong, non-severe storms for practice. Later, we [...]
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Well, here it goes. There is a wave of showers and thunderstorms moving east-northeast across middle Tennessee right now, slowly but surely making its was across the state. This is only the very edge of the system, the outskirts, as it were. Through the night more of the system will push through, a more severe [...]
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Alright folks, it’s happening. Do you remember how in the last post I said I would not be surprised if our risk just got upgraded? Well, we just got a massive upgrade from a SLIGHT risk to a MODERATE risk. We are at DEFCON 1 people, DEFCON 1! If you need a comparison to know [...]
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Today through saturday is what I would describe as the apocalypse! Today has a MODERATE risk issued for Oklahoma and a 15%/significant tornado risk! Tomorrow holds yet ANOTHER MODERATE RISK in Louisiana and Arkansas, with a 45% risk of severe weather! Lastly, but most certainly not least, is middle Tennessee under our own Slight Risk. However, we are [...]
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For today, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms. This storm system will be another late nighter, moving across the mid state from 10 P.M. through 7 A.M. on the eastern side. The SPC says the primary threat is damaging winds and large hail, but the threat for tornadoes does exist.
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The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms for parts of Middle Tennessee tomorrow. They have issued a 30% risk, meaning that there is a 30% chance of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. This may sound small, but this is actually a good probability…
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Honestly this is kind of a boredom post, but I decided to take a look at the GFS models for this weekend and look at the thunderstorm chance. Right now, because of how far out this event is the SPC has not issued any convective outlooks. However, they do think that more than one severe [...]
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Well, there has been another shift in the forecast. This posting will be brief, but now the cold front will not pass us until 6:00 A.M. through Noon tomorrow. Primary risks are hail and maybe damaging winds. I have taken a look at the models, and it really doesn’t look like we will get more [...]
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Well, I do have some updates on timing and severity of the weather tonight. Right now it looks like the storm system is moving in after midnight, but there may still be some isolated thunderstorms ahead of the system this afternoon. There may be some sufficient CAPE values for an isolated severe storm from the [...]
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