I promised I would post, and though its late, here is the current hurricane forecast!
Right now there are TWO hurricanes out in the Atlantic. Hurricane Danielle is dying off, while Hurricane Earl is only just getting up to speed. There is also a tropical depression, likely to become a storm within the next few days. As you can see, the season is picking up speed and is extremely active just as the National Hurricane Center predicted. Even though Danielle never made landfall, it looks as if Earl will make landfall somewhere in the Eastern U.S. In the image at left. the center of the hurricane can be anywhere in the circle, and the path can also shift. You can also see that this storm will reach maximum strength at a Category 4. Category 4 means windspeeds can be in the range of 131-155 MPH! Here is the current advisory on Hurricane Earl.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7
NORTH…LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH…140 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND EARL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON MONDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM…FROM THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS 972 MB…28.70 INCHES.
As far as the new tropical depression, it looks like it will take a similar path to Danielle, meaning it will stay in the Atlantic. However, it is too early to say for certain, so there IS still time for it to turn towards the west. The intensity models show the depression not getting too strong, but again, it is pretty early to make definitive forecasts.
So, thats about it for now. I didn’t include Danielle because it will die within the next few days. However, you can see how active this season already is. I would keep an eye on Earl, so stay tuned for updates. Thank you for reading.
