Well, there has been another shift in the forecast. This posting will be brief, but now the cold front will not pass us until 6:00 A.M. through Noon tomorrow. Primary risks are hail and maybe damaging winds. I have taken a look at the models, and it really doesn’t look like we will get more than a good lightning show. However, there will be plenty more days of severe weather to come! Here is a bit of the SPC forecast for tomorrow, a graphic or two, and a closing statement 
Mind you, this statement was made this morning and the forecast is most likely not as valid as it was, but it is still a general guideline for tomorrow…
...MIDWEST/LWR OH RVR VLY TO THE TN RVR VLY...
BANDS/CLUSTERS OF TSTMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE ERN PLAINS TODAY WILL
CONTINUE ENE EARLY IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION
WITHIN A STRENGTHENING WARM/MOIST ADVECTION REGIME. ISOLD STORMS
MAY YIELD HAIL GIVEN THE EXPECTED STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES.
PRIMARY SVR CONCERN WILL EVOLVE MID-LATE AFTN IN WAKE OF THIS
ACTIVITY AND ALONG THE SFC OCCLUSION. HERE...A TONGUE OF LWR 50S
SFC DEW POINT WILL EXIST BENEATH A NEWD ADVANCING DRY SLOT/PLUME OF
VERY STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES. SFC HEATING WILL BOOST INSTABILITY
AND RESULT IN ADDITIONAL LOW-TOPPED VARIETY STG/SVR TSTMS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST/LWR OH RVR VLY TO THE TN RVR VLY. ISOLD SVR
HAIL AND BRIEF TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE SVR
RISKS DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.
ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION MAY EVOLVE OVERNIGHT OVER THE LWR OH/TN
RVR VLYS AS THE SECONDARY DISTURBANCE ROTATES TOWARD THE REGION.
MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE SUB-SVR AS THE PRIMARY INSTABILITY
AXIS WILL BE RELEGATED TO THE GULF COASTAL REGION.
..RACY.. 03/10/2010
So, still be prepared for anything, but don't worry too much. Unless something
drastic happens overnight (which is why you should prepare!), the threat wont be
as great as it is to our west at the moment. I will attempt an update tomorrow
morning, but still be prepared for anything... you just never know!
I really need to start saving my enthusiasm for, oh, I don't know... a REAL threat?
