• 9th November 2009 - By Kelton Halbert

    Tropical Storm Ida will be making landfall by the early AM Tuesday morning! Here are some of the forecast outlooks…

    This shows its current forecast track as well as storm strength as it moves inward.  Thankfully for the people in its path, it is no longer a hurricane. The forecast advisory is below.

    at200911_5day

    AT 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST OR ABOUT 185
    MILES...300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
    RIVER AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
    FLORIDA.
    
    IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED
    OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IDA
    IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY
    MORNING.  AFTER LANDFALL...A TURN TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON
    TUESDAY.
    
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 70
    MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
    EXPECTED TODAY AS IDA APPROACHES THE COAST.
    
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.
    
    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

    Read more at

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/091443.shtml

    This GFDL model animation shows eye wall development and strengthening, and you can clearly see how this system is weakening. You will need to click on the image for the animation.

    ida11l.2009110900_anim

    Lastly, here is the IR satellite image and model intensity run. Click satellite image for an animation.

    at200911_sat_anim

    at200911_model_intensity

    If you are in the path of this system, it would be wise to start making a plan and listen to your local news/NWS.

    Take care!

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