With Earl now weakened to a tropical storm, the Atlantic hurricane season isn’t over yet. There are currently 3 tropical lows spread out across the Atlantic basin, with varying degrees of strength and chances of development. Right now, I want to focus on the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston. It has weakened from tropical storm status back to a tropical low. However, the NHC has it marked with an 80% chance to strengthen within 48 hours. Back when the storm was of Tropical Storm Status, its path was heading straight into the Gulf of Mexico, which is why I wanted to forecast this. At the time, it was showing signs of strengthening into a Cat 2 + hurricane. Although it was unexpected to weaken below tropical depression, I think it still has the potential to become a strong hurricane. Until further development occurs, here is the National Hurricane Center’s outlook for the storm.
1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GASTON CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE…80 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
I apologize that I do not have more information at this moment, but I will keep you people updated as this storm strengthens. I do have a feeling that this hurricane has a good chance to impact the Gulf, so be aware.
