The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of north and middle Tennessee.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
FAR NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL 800 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
DISCUSSION…THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG A ZONE OF WEAK CONVERGENCE IN NERN AR/WRN TN AND ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEWD INTO SRN KY. STRONG INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STORMS WITH SEVERE HAIL…LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
The probabilities for the watch are:
Tornadoes: Very Low (<5%)
EF-2+ Tornadoes: Very Low (<2%)
Severe Wind: Low [10 or more wind events (20%)]
65 kt+ Wind: Low (20%)
Severe Hail: Moderate [10 or more hail events (30%)]
2″+ Hail: Low (20%)
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events (60%)
